Daly off to flying start at British Open

Golf Betting Lines

07/15/2010 - St. Andrews, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - John Daly has played golf all over the world the last few years in search of his form that helped him earn five PGA Tour victories.

Daly came from out of nowhere to win the 1991 PGA Championship and that helped kick start his career. In 1995, he needed extra holes to claim his second major championship title at the British Open.

At St.Andrews in 1995, Costantino Rocca made a miraculous birdie from the Valley of Sin on the 72nd hole to force a playoff with Daly.

Daly birdied the second playoff hole, while Rocca three-putted for bogey. The Italian tried to force a shot close to the hole on 17 and found the Road Hole bunker. Three shots later, Rocca finally was out of the sand, but also out of the championship.

Daly won the playoff by four strokes. It was his second major championship title, but last victory until the 2004 Buick Invitational.

The 44-year-old has made the cut in eight of his 14 worldwide starts this year, yet hasn't finished inside the top-20 all season.

He made one start on the Nationwide Tour, in his home state, and posted his best finish of the year there when he tied for 22nd.

Daly flew out of the gate Thursday at St. Andrews with birdies on one and two. After a birdie on the sixth, he poured in four straight birdie chances from the eighth to jump to seven-under.

He settled in with five pars in a row from the 12th. At the Road Hole, No. 17, Daly hit a huge drive down the fairway off the tee, but missed the green to the right. He pitched to eight feet, but missed on the left edge.

And that was the story of Daly's back nine. He had 12 feet for birdie on 15, but missed. At the 16th, his 10-footer slid by the right edge.

His bogey on 17 dropped him to minus-six and into a share of the lead at the time. Daly's drive at the last was close enough to the green that he was able to putt his second.

That putt got within 10 feet of the hole, but Daly again was unable to covert as his birdie effort at the last lipped out to give him his fourth 66 of the season.

The last time Daly shot 66 at the Open Championship was in 1993, in the second round at Royal St. George's. It also matched his career-low in a major.

Daly also posted a 66 at the 1997 PGA Championship.

With near-perfect scoring conditions early in Thursday's first round, Daly exited the course in second place and on pace for his best finish in a major since sharing 15th at St. Andrews in 2005.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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